The rise of militant forces in Japan resulted not from a seizure
of power by a new political party but from the growing
influence of such elements at the top of the political
hierarchy. During the 1920s, a multiparty system based on
democratic practices appeared to be emerging. Two relatively
moderate political parties, the Minseito and the
Seiyukai, dominated the Diet and took turns providing
executive leadership in the cabinet. Radical elements existed
at each end of the political spectrum, but neither
militant nationalists nor violent revolutionaries appeared
to present a threat to the stability of the system.
In fact, the political system was probably weaker than
it seemed at the time. Both of the major parties were
deeply dependent on campaign contributions from powerful
corporations (the zaibatsu), and conservative forces
connected to the military or the old landed aristocracy
were still highly influential behind the scenes. As in the
Weimar Republic in Germany during the same period,
the actual power base of moderate political forces was
weak, and politicians unwittingly undermined the fragility
of the system by engaging in bitter attacks on each
other.
The road to war in Asia began in 1928 when Zhang
Xueliang, son and successor of the Japanese puppet Marshall
Zhang Zuolin (see Chapter 5) decided to integrate
Manchuria into the Nanjing republic. Appeals from
Tokyo to Washington for a U.S. effort to restrain Chiang
Kai-shek were rebuffed.
Already suffering from the decline of its business interests
on the mainland, after 1929 Japan began to feel
the impact of the Great Depression when the United
States and major European nations raised their tariff rates
against Japanese imports in a desperate effort to protect
local businesses and jobs. The value of Japanese exports
dropped by 50 percent from 1929 to 1931, and wages
dropped nearly as much. Hardest hit were the farmers as
the price of rice and other staple food crops plummeted.
At the same time, militant nationalists, outraged at Japan’s
loss of influence in Manchuria, began to argue that
the Shidehara policy of peaceful cooperation with other
nations in maintaining the existing international economic
order had been a failure. It was undoubtedly that
vision that had motivated the military coup d’état
launched in Mukden in the early fall of 1931.
During the early 1930s, civilian cabinets managed
to cope with the economic challenges presented by the
Great Depression. By abandoning the gold standard,
Prime Minister Inukai Tsuyoshi was able to lower the
price of Japanese goods on the world market, and exports
climbed back to earlier levels. But the political parties
were no longer able to stem the growing influence of militant
nationalist elements. Despite its doubts about the
wisdom of the Mukden incident, the cabinet was too divided
to disavow it, and military officers in Manchuria increasingly
acted on their own initiative.
In May 1932, Inukai Tsuyoshi was assassinated by
right-wing extremists. He was succeeded by a moderate,
Admiral Saito Makoto, but ultranationalist patriotic societies
began to terrorize opponents, assassinating businessmen
and public figures identified with the policy of
conciliation toward the outside world. Some, like the
publicist Kita Ikki, were convinced that the parliamentary
system had been corrupted by materialism and Western
values and should be replaced by a system that would
return to traditional Japanese values and imperial authority.
His message, “Asia for the Asians,” had not won widespread
support during the relatively prosperous 1920s but
increased in popularity after the Great Depression, which
convinced many Japanese that capitalism was unsuitable
for Japan.
During the mid-1930s, the influence of the military
and extreme nationalists over the government steadily
increased. Minorities and left-wing elements were persecuted,
and moderates were intimidated into silence. Terrorists
tried for their part in assassination attempts portrayed
themselves as selfless patriots and received light
sentences. Japan continued to hold national elections,
and moderate candidates continued to receive substantial
popular support, but the cabinets were dominated by the
military or advocates of Japanese expansionism. In February
1936, junior officers in the army led a coup in the capital
city of Tokyo, briefly occupying the Diet building and
other key government installations and assassinating several
members of the cabinet. The ringleaders were quickly
tried and convicted of treason, but under conditions that
strengthened even further the influence of the military in
the halls of power.